For some reason I cannot get the comment section to work, if you can move this response or whatever. I just thought I would get this down while I was thinking about it.
Your work suggests that 3 bet bluffing is a plus EV proposition even against the tightest btn responses. I am wondering if maybe our assumptions about the buttons response to our donk is a bit off.
You suggest:
btn raises to $36 w/ {top pair+, flushdraws, overcard+gutters, var2% of other hands},
As a frequent donker I have found that I really don't get raised near as often as this response above would suggest. I will try to get together a filter later and review a bunch of hands in actual play. If I had to guess just based on my feel of these situaion I think the Btn raise response is more polarized between bluffs and monsters, with the top pair and floating hands ( overs, guttters ect) doing a bunch of calling.
I also have some 3 bet bluffs I have been test driving if memory serves, maybe I will make review vid of a bunch of replayer donks. Love the sound of my own voice and all.
Sean
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ya, btn can certainly call with those hands sometimes - maybe most of the time he holds them - this was just meant to address bb's options the times that btn does raise.
ReplyDeletei plan to look at the calling scenario eventually, but it's obviously much more complicated...